NOAA National Hurricane Center/Tropical Prediction Center - Atla

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

NOAA National Hurricane Center - 1 hour 4 min ago

000
ABNT20 KNHC 290529
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE JUL 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Satellite data indicate that an area of low pressure located about
1000 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands is becoming
better defined. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity
continues to gradually organize, and a tropical depression could
form during the next day or so while the system moves westward or
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

NOAA National Hurricane Center - 1 hour 4 min ago
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 29 Jul 2014 05:59:30 GMT

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 28, 2014 - 3:32am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 280532
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON JUL 28 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located about 550 miles southwest of the Cape
Verde Islands is producing a large area of cloudiness and
thunderstorms. Shower activity has increased and become a little
better organized during the past several hours, and environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development
of this disturbance over the next several days while it moves
generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 27, 2014 - 3:31am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 270531
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located about 400 miles southwest of the Cape
Verde Islands is moving westward at 10 to 15 mph. Although shower
activity is currently disorganized, environmental conditions are
expected to become conducive for the development of an area of low
pressure over the central tropical Atlantic by the middle of this
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 26, 2014 - 3:57am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 260557
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located south of the Cape Verde Islands could
develop into an area of low pressure by early next week over
the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are
expected to be marginally conducive for gradual development of
this system through midweek as it moves westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 25, 2014 - 3:41am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 250541
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 24, 2014 - 3:49am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 240548
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms moving westward over
portions of the Lesser Antilles are associated with the remnants
of Tropical Depression Two. There are no signs of a surface
circulation, and environmental conditions are not conducive for
re-development of this system as it moves west-northwestward at
about 25 mph. Showers and gusty winds are possible through much of
the day, especially on the islands of Guadeloupe, Dominica,
Martinique, and St. Lucia.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 23, 2014 - 3:15am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 230515
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown

Tropical Depression TWO Graphics

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 23, 2014 - 1:08am

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 23 Jul 2014 02:37:28 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 23 Jul 2014 03:04:45 GMT

Tropical Depression TWO Forecast Discussion Number 6

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 23, 2014 - 12:36am
Issued at 1100 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014 000 WTNT42 KNHC 230236 TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 1100 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014 The tropical depression is producing a little more deep convection than it was earlier today. Satellite images indicate that the convective pattern consists of a small circular area of thunderstorms near the estimated center, with limited banding features surrounding it. The initial wind speed remains 30 kt based on a Dvorak classification from TAFB and ADT values from UW-CIMSS. The global models show the depression becoming highly titled in the vertical during the next day or so due to a substantial increase in shear. These unfavorable environmental winds combined with a dry air mass should prevent significant strengthening. The cyclone is forecast to become a remnant low or open into a trough in 36 to 48 h, but this could occur sooner as suggested by some of the models. The depression is moving west-northwestward at about 16 kt. An even faster westward to west-northwestward motion is predicted, taking the depression, or its remnants, across the the Lesser Antilles late Wednesday or on Thursday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/0300Z 13.4N 51.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 23/1200Z 13.7N 53.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 24/0000Z 14.4N 57.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 24/1200Z 15.1N 61.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 25/0000Z 15.9N 65.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tropical Depression TWO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 23, 2014 - 12:36am
Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUL 23 2014 000 FONT12 KNHC 230236 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 0300 UTC WED JUL 23 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) AVES 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 11(11) 5(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Summary for Tropical Depression TWO (AT2/AL022014)

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 23, 2014 - 12:35am
...DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES... As of 11:00 PM AST Tue Jul 22 the center of TWO was located near 13.4, -51.4 with movement WNW at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1012 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression TWO Public Advisory Number 6

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 23, 2014 - 12:35am
Issued at 1100 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014 000 WTNT32 KNHC 230235 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 1100 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014 ...DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.4N 51.4W ABOUT 675 MI...1090 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.4 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A SLIGHTLY FASTER WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW...BUT THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ON THURSDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Tropical Depression TWO Forecast Advisory Number 6

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 23, 2014 - 12:35am
Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUL 23 2014 000 WTNT22 KNHC 230235 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 0300 UTC WED JUL 23 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 51.4W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 51.4W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 50.4W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.7N 53.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.4N 57.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.1N 61.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.9N 65.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 51.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 22, 2014 - 3:08am

000
ABNT20 KNHC 220508
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located well to east of the Lesser Antilles.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Brown

Tropical Depression TWO Graphics

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 22, 2014 - 1:08am

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Jul 2014 02:39:17 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Jul 2014 03:04:47 GMT

Tropical Depression TWO Forecast Discussion Number 2

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 22, 2014 - 12:42am
Issued at 1100 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014 000 WTNT42 KNHC 220242 TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 1100 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014 The compact depression has not changed much during the past several hours. The system is producing a small area of deep convection near the center and a few fragmented bands mainly on the south side of the circulation. An ASCAT pass around 0010 UTC captured the western half of the system and indicated that winds are light and variable to the south of the center, suggesting that the system has not become better defined. The dynamical models, both regional and global, are in good agreement in showing the system weakening into a trough by the time it reaches the Lesser Antilles. The primary reasons for the weakening in these models appear to be dry air and possibly mid-level shear. The SHIPS and LGEM models show the cyclone gaining strength, but this scenario seems unlikely given the expected unfavorable environmental conditions. The official intensity forecast follows the trend in the dynamical model guidance, and is the same as the previous forecast. Satellite fixes suggest that depression has moved a little to the north of the previous track, and the latest initial motion estimate is 280/14. A subtropical ridge to the north of the cyclone should keep it moving westward to west-northwestward during the next few days. This track takes the depression, or its remnants, over the Lesser Antilles in 2 to 3 days. The NHC track forecast is a little to the north of the previous one, primarily to account for the initial position, and lies fairly close to the multi-model consensus TVCA. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/0300Z 12.0N 45.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 22/1200Z 12.5N 47.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 23/0000Z 13.0N 49.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 23/1200Z 13.5N 52.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 24/0000Z 14.5N 56.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 25/0000Z 16.7N 63.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Summary for Tropical Depression TWO (AT2/AL022014)

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 22, 2014 - 12:38am
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 PM AST Mon Jul 21 the center of TWO was located near 12.0, -45.1 with movement W at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1012 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression TWO Public Advisory Number 2

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 22, 2014 - 12:38am
Issued at 1100 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014 000 WTNT32 KNHC 220238 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 1100 PM AST MON JUL 21 2014 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.0N 45.1W ABOUT 1110 MI...1790 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY THURSDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Tropical Depression TWO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

NOAA National Hurricane Center - July 22, 2014 - 12:38am
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014 000 FONT12 KNHC 220238 PWSAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 0300 UTC TUE JUL 22 2014 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) X(13) X(13) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) X(15) X(15) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT LUCIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI