NOAA National Hurricane Center

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 09 Sep 2010 05:59:03 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 09 Sep 2010 03:07:28 GMT

GIS Data last updated Thu, 09 Sep 2010 05:58:17 GMT

000
ABNT20 KNHC 090553
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU SEP 9 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.

THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE...CURRENTLY LOCATED
INLAND ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA.

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM GASTON. THIS SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH NO DEVELOPMENT.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT AS THE LOW MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED
NEAR THE WESTERNMOST CAPE HAS WEAKENED. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED
BECOME ABSORBED BY TROPICAL STORM IGOR LATER TODAY. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON IGOR ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER
WTNT31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON IGOR ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER
WTNT21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Issued at 200 AM AST THU SEP 09 2010

GIS Data last updated Thu, 09 Sep 2010 03:08:09 GMT

GIS Data last updated Thu, 09 Sep 2010 03:08:08 GMT

The NHC has issued its final advisory on this system. Public Advisories from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center will provide updates as long as the system remains a flood threat. Issued at 1000 PM CDT WED SEP 08 2010

Issued at 1100 PM AST WED SEP 08 2010

Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 09 2010

Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 09 2010

GIS Data last updated Thu, 09 Sep 2010 02:48:17 GMT

GIS Data last updated Thu, 09 Sep 2010 02:48:17 GMT

GIS Data last updated Thu, 09 Sep 2010 02:48:17 GMT

000
ABNT20 KNHC 080551
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED SEP 8 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE...CURRENTLY LOCATED INLAND OVER CENTRAL
TEXAS ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH OF ABILENE. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT5
AND WMO HEADER WTNT35 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 400 AM CDT.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED NEAR AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS OVER THIS SYSTEM ARE
EXPECTED TO DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS THE LOW MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

THE REMNANTS OF GASTON...LOCATED ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SANTO
DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...ARE PRODUCING MINIMAL SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING
LESS LIKELY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY NEAR A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 525
MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS
DISSIPATED. SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A DRY AND STABLE ENVIRONMENT...AND DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 08 Sep 2010 02:38:26 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 08 Sep 2010 03:07:29 GMT

Issued at 1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010

GIS Data last updated Wed, 08 Sep 2010 02:37:41 GMT

Issued at 1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010

Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 08 2010

Issued at 0300 UTC WED SEP 08 2010